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Poll predicts Tory majority of 28, halved from a fortnight ago

Poll predicts Tory majority of 28, halved from a fortnight ago Reported today on City AM

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In a further sign that the election polls are narrowing, a comprehensive poll conducted by YouGov suggested the expected Tory majority to be 28 – a significant fall from the 68 they predicted a fortnight ago.The final MRP poll of 2019 found that were the election to be held tomorrow, the Conservatives would be on course for 339 seats, 22 more than they won in 2017.Labour are set to lose 31 seats to fall to 231, which would be the party's worst performance since 1983 in terms of seats.The Liberal Democrats are expected to increase their number of seats by three to 15, whilst the SNP will gain six more to take their total to 41.However, since November's model the poll showed that Labour had pulled back in many of the seats.Last month the party was set to lose 44 seats to the Conservatives, but this has now narrowed to 29.Labour is now ahead in Tom Watson's former seat of West Bromwich East and Workington.The recovery has been strongest in Remain areas. In seats that Labour is defending which have a majority of less than 8,000, the party has increased its vote share by 6 per cent.Unlike in 2017, when Labour began to close the gap with a few weeks to go before stalling in the final days, the surge seems to have begin as the campaign reaches its climax.In terms of vote share, the Tories are predicted to take 43 per cent of the vote, with Labour on 34 per cent.The poll shows that the majority of the seats expected to change hands are those that Labour won from the Conservatives in 2017.This is a breaking story and will be updated

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