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WASHINGTON — With 24 days to go until the Iowa caucuses, two of the most important forces at play in that contest will be age and ideology. In 2016, according to the entrance poll, nearly two-thirds of participants in the Democratic caucuses were 45 years or older, and Hillary Clinton easily beat Bernie Sanders among that demographic. Clinton bested Sanders by more than 40 points among those 65 or older, and by more than 20 points among those 45 to 64. By comparison, 37 percent of participants in 2016 were 44 or younger, and Bernie Sanders cleaned house with those Iowa Democrats. He beat Clinton by 70 points among those ages 17 to 29. And the spread was more than 20 points among those 30 to 44. So Iowa Democrats are disproportionately older. But the youngest heavily broke for Sanders over Clinton in 2016. When it comes to ideology, more than two-thirds of Iowa Dem participants identified themselves as liberals, per the same entrance poll. But there were two different groups of liberals: 28 percent said they were "very liberal," and Sanders won them by nearly 20 points, 58 percent to 39 percent. Yet a larger share — 40 percent — said they were just "liberal," and Clinton narrowly beat Sanders among these voters, 50 percent to 44 percent. An additional 28 percent described themselves as moderates, and Clinton won them by more than 20 points, 58 percent to 35 percent. So Iowa Dems are disproportionately liberal, but only a quarter of all participants called themselves "very liberal."Bottom line: When you're trying to game out how Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg and Elizabeth Warren will fare on Feb. 3, pay close attention to age and ideology.25 percent. That was the share of likely Iowa Democratic caucus-goers who chose frontrunner Pete Buttigieg in the LAST Des Moines Register/CNN poll, back in November. The Register will release its next highly-anticipated survey at 5:00 pm CT /6:00 pm ET. In November, here's how the last poll shook out:NBC's Pete Williams says the U. S. Supreme Court could decide as early as today if it will take up the cases whether electors in the Electoral College can side with a DIFFERENT presidential than the one who won the popular vote in their state. The question at hand, says Williams: Are the electors who cast the actual ballots for president and vice president required to follow the results of the popular vote in their states? Or are they free to vote as they wish? A decision that they are free agents could give a single elector - or a small group of them - the power to decide the outcome of a presidential election, if the popular vote results in an apparent Electoral College tie or is close to one. Yesterday, we wrote that five Democrats had qualified for Tuesday's presidential debate in Iowa - all ahead of today's qualification deadline. Well, make it six. Tom Steyer, who was two polls away from qualifying, got them yesterday when Fox News polls of Nevada and South Carolina showed him in double digits in
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For the upcoming Iowa contest, pay close attention to age and ideology:
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